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TOKYO
REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT
VOL.7
Real Estate Investment
Market of Japan Future
Possibilities and Issues
3. Issues for Formation
of the Real Estate Investment
Market
| <DCF
Analysis Not Yet Prevalent
Among Real Estate Appraisals
in Japan>
Under the Discounted Cash
Flow (DCF) analysis, in
general, it is assumed
that real estate which
is purchased will eventually
be resold, and the price
of the real estate is
determined on the basis
of cash income as the
sum of the total current
value of the net profit
from the period of time
until its resale plus
the current value of its
final sale price. In the
U.S., DCF analysis is
applied as a matter of
course, but in Japan,
this method is only beginning
to become prevalent. The
reason for this difference
is that in Japan, there
existed for a long time
the strong tendency to
assume that real estate,
once purchased, would
be held semi-permanently
and not be resold. Therefore,
the most popular method
used for profit return
was the “permanent
return” approach,
in which net profit is
discounted by the return
yield.
In the real estate investment
market, investors base
their investments on the
assumption that they will
resell the properties
after acquiring real estate,
and holding and operating
it for a certain period
of time. The price based
on DCF analysis will provide
an important standard
for investment. For the
future growth of Japan’s
real estate investment
market, there will be
a need for many appraisers
who are skilled in the
use of DCF analysis.
<Appraisal
Division of Tokyo Tatemono:
Competence and Results>
Tokyo Tatemono’s appraisal
division boasts a long
tradition in the appraisal
industry, and as an industry
leader, has continued
to provide analysis using
the most advanced valuation
techniques. We receive
many orders from government
agencies and have a strong
reputation in the market.
We began using DCF analysis
earlier than other companies
and have already applied
it successfully in many
cases. Currently, Tokyo
Tatemono has 26 highly
skilled licensed appraisers. |
<Physical
Inspection for Buildings
Becoming Important>
For a long time in Japan,
there was a strong tendency
to emphasize the latent
value of land, and the
system of real estate
valuation in Japan was
said to be “land-centered”.
There was little interest
in the value of buildings.
Even when real estate
was sold, buildings were
de-emphasized and seen
as merely an incidental
attachment to the land.
Therefore, the inspection
for buildings has not
been well developed in
Japan up to the present
time. However, when real
estate is seen as an investment
target, buildings carry
an extremely important
role as the basis for
rental income. Therefore
when planning for investment
efficiency, it is necessary
to include an estimate
of expenditures for building
maintenance, management,
and repairs. High quality
building diagnosis is
an important element for
the expansion of the real
estate investment market.
<Investigation
of Predicted Earthquake
Damage Provided in Securitization
of Takanawa SPC>
In the securitization
of the Takanawa SPC, a
detailed engineering report
was prepared by professional
staff members. The scope
of this investigation
covered the entire building,
including the structural
aspects of interior and
exterior finishes, roof,
and exterior structure
and the facility aspects
of electrical and air
conditioning equipment,
water supply and drainage,
and elevators. The investigation
also included determination
of whether any hazardous
substances were used,
and the predicted amount
of damage in case of an
earthquake.
At Tokyo Tatemono, we
use our wealth of experience
from many years of building
operation and management
to provide building diagnosis
that investors can trust. |
| (3)
Information Disclosure |
<More
Disclosure Needed for
the Fair Market>
For funds from a wide
range of investors to
flow into the Japanese
real estate investment
market and expand the
size of this market, it
is essential for property
information to be disclosed
to investors.
However, it may take more
time for Japan to progress
in terms of the disclosure
of information such as
rent rolls, due to the
circumstances described
below.
<Tenants Protected
Under the Leasing Acts>
Under the Leasing Acts
in Japan, tenants are
strongly protected in
commercial contract as
well as with residential
properties. Even before
the end of a lease period,
a tenant may demand a
reduction in rent in certain
cases, such as a large
reduction in the market
level of rents in the
area. Even if the lessor
and lessee have made a
special written agreement
to the effect that the
rent would not be lowered
during the lease period,
such agreement may become
invalid, and the tenant
may still have the right
to demand a rent reduction.
This law also provides
strong protection for
the tenant in the case
of cancellation of a lease.
Taking the example of
a two-year lease, which
is the general period
for an office lease in
Japan, for the owner to
refuse to renew the lease
at the end of that two-year
period, the strict requirements
of this law include a
stipulation that the owner
must provide “justifiable
reasons” for such
a refusal. However, the
tenant may cancel the
lease by refusing renewal
with a certain period
of advance notice.
<Leasing Conditions
Vary Depending on Time
of Lease Origination>
As a result of sharp fluctuations
for rents just before
and after a boom period,
large differences exist
in current rent levels
for tenants who moved
in at different times,
even in the same building.
If the lease conditions
were disclosed, those
tenants paying higher
rents could be expected
to demand rent reductions
or give notice of cancellation
upon learning of these
differences. And tenants
can easily be lured out
with lower rent. Therefore,
owners are unwilling to
disclose such information
on individual leasing
conditions in order to
prevent this reaction.

<Endeavors
by Tokyo Tatemono in Creation
of New Lease Formats>
Under discussion at present
is a fixed-term lease,
different from current
leases, in which the building
would be surrendered to
the owner upon expiration
of a certain lease period,
regardless of whether
or not there exist “justifiable
reasons.” If this
is realized, it will provide
a better balance between
the positions of tenants
and owners, forming a
sounder lease market and
promoting the disclosure
of information concerning
lease conditions, etc.
from the owners.
Also, if fixed-term leases
are introduced and owners
are released from the
risk of demands for rent
reductions, this will
ensure a stable rental
income and facilitate
the creation of real estate
investment products.
As a pioneer in real estate
investment products, Tokyo
Tatemono is continuing
to address the government
and related authorities
concerning the creation
of fixed-term leases,
which are necessary for
the future of the real
estate investment market.
(Limited-term Lease Sysytem
Implemented on March 1,
2000) |
| (4)
Separation of Ownership
and Management of Real
Estate |
<Importance
of Management>
In the real estate investment
market, investors make
use of their capital by
owning real estate, either
directly or indirectly.
An important issue from
the standpoint of investors
is the question of whom
to entrust with the tasks
of asset management and
administration of their
real estate portfolio.
If a property is well
operated, then naturally
its performance and value
will increase at a high
level in the market, and
investors will be able
to obtain a higher return
as a result. The real
estate investment market
is expected to expand
in the future as investors
and funds, combining a
wide range of capital,
select and acquire real
estate that suits their
wishes as a means of asset
administration (ownership),
and real estate companies
are commissioned to perform
the asset management and
administrative management
of real estate (management).
Therefore specialized
expertise will be applied
in each respective area,
(separation of ownership
and management).
<Tokyo Tatemono
Group Has a Wealth of
Experience and Expertise>
The Tokyo Tatemono Group
has built up a wealth
of experience and expertise
during many years in the
operation of office buildings,
condominiums, hotels,
and other properties.
The Tokyo Tatemono Group
has specialized subsidiaries
in the areas of facility
management, condominium
management, hotel operation,
repair &maintenance,
cleaning services, and
so on. Through these networks
with our subsidiaries,
we can offer a complete
package in real estate
operation as an asset
manager and property manager.
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