Tokyo Real Estate Market Report

TOKYO REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT VOL.7

Real Estate Investment Market of Japan Future Possibilities and Issues

4. Future Outlook for the Real Estate Investment Market

<Dawn of New Era of Japan’s Real Estate Investment Market>
Based on the recognition that activation of the real estate investment market is essential for economic recovery, beginning last year and continuing into this year, the SPC Law was enacted and the Real Estate Syndication Law was amended providing major liberalization. Although many areas of insufficiency remain with regard to the liquidity of real estate, steady progress is being seen in system infrastructure building. (See Volumes 5 and 6 of our Market Report.)
As stated above, the long-term decline in land price levels has begun to result in a marked trend for foreign corporations to purchase real estate for investment purposes.

Purchase of Real Estate for Investment Purposes by Foreign Corporations
DATE INVESTOR PREVIOUS
OWNER
PRICE
(yen)
SUBJECT
PROPERTY
Mar. 98 Morgan Stanley Daikyo 12 billion Rental
condominiums
Mar. 98 Goldman Sachs Yamato Life Insurance 60 billion Head office
Feb. 99 Whitehall Fund (U.S.) Toho Life Insurance 30 billion Head office
Apr. 99 AIG and others Japan Energy 70 billion Head office
Apr. 99 Secured Capital and others Nippon Landic 36 billion 13 buildings

In the past in Japan, the sale of a building had been regarded negatively. However, this is now coming to be seen in a positive light as a business strategy, as outstanding companies achieve asset liquidity through the sale of owned real estate. Naturally, these transactions are performed according to the profit return price based on future rental income, and this is expected to provide the impetus for outstanding real estate to come onto the real estate investment market.
Not only foreign companies, but also Japanese real estate companies and financial institutions are becoming interested in a real estate investment market. Domestic players are already becoming active as the developers of real estate investment products and as investors in these real estate investment products.
Improvements in the system infrastructure, lower real estate prices, entry of outstanding real estate into the market and the emergence of enthusiastic players, are all signaling the dawn of a new era in Japan’s real estate investment market.

<Importance of Investment in Outstanding Properties>
In real estate investing under these circumstances, the most important factor is the identification of outstanding properties. Since beginning of the ’90s, the prices of some properties have fallen to one-half to one-tenth of their peak values. In our view, it is important for real estate companies to identify the following from the large amount of information on properties for sale: [1] properties which are valued by the market at less than their actual income-producing capability, [2] properties which could be greatly increased in value through renovation and [3] properties in which performance growth results from improvement of management.
The recovery of property value is expected to spread to the market as a whole, first beginning with outstanding properties, and then gradually broadening in scope while entering the investment capital market and producing exponential results. Through this process, the distinction between outstanding properties operated by good asset managers and other properties will become clearer through market price.


BACK: 3. Issues for Formation of the Real Estate Investment Market

NEXT: 5. Conclusion


Copyright 2004